India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of around 41°C in Lucknow today under persistent clear skies and low humidity (around 30%), driving trader consensus to 96.5% implied probability on this outcome. Yesterday's official high at Lucknow Airport was 39.8°C (+1.3°C above normal), with current morning readings at 34°C and minimal cloud cover enabling strong daytime heating typical of mid-April pre-monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover near 39–40°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with model consensus for dry conditions and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds capping temperatures at 40°C or below, or enhanced solar insolation pushing to 42°C; monitor IMD's evening bulletin for final airport station measurement resolving the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 95.7%
42°C 4%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,711 ปริมาณ
$40,711 ปริมาณ
39°C or below
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
96%
42°C
4%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
41°C 95.7%
42°C 4%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,711 ปริมาณ
$40,711 ปริมาณ
39°C or below
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
96%
42°C
4%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of around 41°C in Lucknow today under persistent clear skies and low humidity (around 30%), driving trader consensus to 96.5% implied probability on this outcome. Yesterday's official high at Lucknow Airport was 39.8°C (+1.3°C above normal), with current morning readings at 34°C and minimal cloud cover enabling strong daytime heating typical of mid-April pre-monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover near 39–40°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with model consensus for dry conditions and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective clouds capping temperatures at 40°C or below, or enhanced solar insolation pushing to 42°C; monitor IMD's evening bulletin for final airport station measurement resolving the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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