Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 ปริมาณ
$73,959 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 ปริมาณ
$73,959 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
19°C or below
$1,898 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,241 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,198 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,277 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$13,092 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$10,247 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$12,744 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$9,090 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,753 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,206 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$5,211 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,959วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,959วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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