PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila on July 8 projects daytime highs of 32–33 °C with 40–60 % rain chance under the southwest monsoon, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and ECMWF-based models shows a narrow envelope centered near 32–34 °C. In Manila’s July climatology, peak temperatures are set by the balance between morning insolation and afternoon convective clouds or showers that cap surface heating; modest differences in timing or coverage of these storms readily shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent sea-surface temperatures and lower-tropospheric moisture favor typical wet-season suppression, keeping extreme values above 35 °C or below 31 °C statistically unlikely. Updated PAGASA and NCEP model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and therefore the market-implied probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on July 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 8?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,231 ปริมาณ
$88,231 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,231 ปริมาณ
$88,231 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
28°C or below
$2,077 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,677 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,949 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,023 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$43,895 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$6,996 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$5,325 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$3,272 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$2,365 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$5,070 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$6,582 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila on July 8 projects daytime highs of 32–33 °C with 40–60 % rain chance under the southwest monsoon, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and ECMWF-based models shows a narrow envelope centered near 32–34 °C. In Manila’s July climatology, peak temperatures are set by the balance between morning insolation and afternoon convective clouds or showers that cap surface heating; modest differences in timing or coverage of these storms readily shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent sea-surface temperatures and lower-tropospheric moisture favor typical wet-season suppression, keeping extreme values above 35 °C or below 31 °C statistically unlikely. Updated PAGASA and NCEP model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and therefore the market-implied probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,231วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila on July 8 projects daytime highs of 32–33 °C with 40–60 % rain chance under the southwest monsoon, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and ECMWF-based models shows a narrow envelope centered near 32–34 °C. In Manila’s July climatology, peak temperatures are set by the balance between morning insolation and afternoon convective clouds or showers that cap surface heating; modest differences in timing or coverage of these storms readily shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent sea-surface temperatures and lower-tropospheric moisture favor typical wet-season suppression, keeping extreme values above 35 °C or below 31 °C statistically unlikely. Updated PAGASA and NCEP model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and therefore the market-implied probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,231วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila on July 8 projects daytime highs of 32–33 °C with 40–60 % rain chance under the southwest monsoon, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and ECMWF-based models shows a narrow envelope centered near 32–34 °C. In Manila’s July climatology, peak temperatures are set by the balance between morning insolation and afternoon convective clouds or showers that cap surface heating; modest differences in timing or coverage of these storms readily shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Recent sea-surface temperatures and lower-tropospheric moisture favor typical wet-season suppression, keeping extreme values above 35 °C or below 31 °C statistically unlikely. Updated PAGASA and NCEP model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and therefore the market-implied probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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