PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 8?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 ปริมาณ
$39,204 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 ปริมาณ
$39,204 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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