Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on July 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 7?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 ปริมาณ
$65,324 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 ปริมาณ
$65,324 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
79°F or below
$780 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$2,590 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,304 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$3,047 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$4,615 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$4,772 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$12,043 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$10,988 ปริมาณ
Yes
94-95°F
$7,836 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$8,596 ปริมาณ
No
98°F or higher
$7,754 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,324วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,324วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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