Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 19?
38°C 25%
36°C 22%
37°C 22%
39°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 19, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
22%
37°C
22%
38°C
25%
39°C
12%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 25%
36°C 22%
37°C 22%
39°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 19, 2026
33°C or below
$266 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$431 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$441 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$1,277 ปริมาณ
22%
37°C
$1,849 ปริมาณ
22%
38°C
$1,478 ปริมาณ
25%
39°C
$454 ปริมาณ
12%
40°C
$441 ปริมาณ
7%
41°C
$257 ปริมาณ
1%
42°C
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$355 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,819วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,819วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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