Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,023 ปริมาณ
$56,023 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,023 ปริมาณ
$56,023 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
$1,209 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,430 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,963 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$4,247 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,417 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$6,254 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$8,289 ปริมาณ
Yes
36°C
$5,122 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$5,207 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$7,726 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$10,160 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,023วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,023วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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