Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 23?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 23?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$26,486 ปริมาณ
$26,486 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$26,486 ปริมาณ
$26,486 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
24°C or below
$951 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,499 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,727 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$4,258 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$5,993 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,334 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,835 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,339 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$705 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$630 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$216 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,486วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,486วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City tomorrow will likely reach 28–29°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities near 72% combined. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location typically moderates extremes through cooler baseline air masses, though the ongoing summer rainy season brings variable cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime highs by 1–3°C. Recent observations show stable subtropical ridging with limited moisture advection, favoring modest warming relative to seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus and historical analogs for late July, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central observatory; any shift in overnight model guidance or unexpected clear-sky development could adjust these odds before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย