Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s July 17 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance for typical midsummer conditions under a normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook. Key drivers include persistent southerly monsoon flow sustaining high humidity that curbs daytime heating, combined with the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and the long-term warming trend support readings near the upper end of the 30–33°C envelope, while clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push toward 32°C. Updated short-range model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 17?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$351,797 ปริมาณ
$351,797 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$351,797 ปริมาณ
$351,797 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
25°C or below
$9,645 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$20,635 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$27,328 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$65,039 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$55,930 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$70,652 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$44,816 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$31,001 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$17,989 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$6,460 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$2,303 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s July 17 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance for typical midsummer conditions under a normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook. Key drivers include persistent southerly monsoon flow sustaining high humidity that curbs daytime heating, combined with the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and the long-term warming trend support readings near the upper end of the 30–33°C envelope, while clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push toward 32°C. Updated short-range model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$351,797วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s July 17 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance for typical midsummer conditions under a normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook. Key drivers include persistent southerly monsoon flow sustaining high humidity that curbs daytime heating, combined with the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and the long-term warming trend support readings near the upper end of the 30–33°C envelope, while clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push toward 32°C. Updated short-range model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$351,797วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s July 17 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance for typical midsummer conditions under a normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook. Key drivers include persistent southerly monsoon flow sustaining high humidity that curbs daytime heating, combined with the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and the long-term warming trend support readings near the upper end of the 30–33°C envelope, while clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push toward 32°C. Updated short-range model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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