Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 19?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$85,082 ปริมาณ
$85,082 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$85,082 ปริมาณ
$85,082 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
25°C or below
$195 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$305 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$11,322 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$10,479 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,374 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$12,303 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$8,549 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$12,031 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$8,780 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$5,532 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$3,213 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,082วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,082วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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