Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 15?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 ปริมาณ
$44,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 ปริมาณ
$44,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
$2,452 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,487 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,375 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$5,286 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,476 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$9,240 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$6,639 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$5,839 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,288 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,080 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$1,509 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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