Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on July 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 17?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$38,800 ปริมาณ
$38,800 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$38,800 ปริมาณ
$38,800 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
16°C or below
$381 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,188 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,070 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,135 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,773 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$8,133 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$4,269 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$4,976 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,193 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,836 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$845 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,800วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,800วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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