Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 2?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 ปริมาณ
$79,966 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 ปริมาณ
$79,966 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
9°C or below
$7,683 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$6,712 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$3,466 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,825 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$7,109 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$13,199 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$10,241 ปริมาณ
Yes
16°C
$13,593 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,241 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,668 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$3,228 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,966วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,966วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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