National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 23?
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 ปริมาณ
$80,156 ปริมาณ
May 23, 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 ปริมาณ
$80,156 ปริมาณ
May 23, 2026
45°F or below
$10,702 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$1,499 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$1,173 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$2,720 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$3,401 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$9,505 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$19,363 ปริมาณ
Yes
58-59°F
$9,754 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$8,744 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$7,000 ปริมาณ
No
64°F or higher
$6,292 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,156วันสิ้นสุด
May 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,156วันสิ้นสุด
May 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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