Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 ปริมาณ
$133,073 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 ปริมาณ
$133,073 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$5,278 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$5,913 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$15,001 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$27,866 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$22,637 ปริมาณ
Yes
37°C
$24,783 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$21,197 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$7,521 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$1,585 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$542 ปริมาณ
No
42°C or higher
$748 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,073วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,073วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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