Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on June 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 ปริมาณ
$182,350 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 ปริมาณ
$182,350 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
$138 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$771 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,202 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$14,177 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$31,141 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$23,574 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$55,247 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$33,039 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$12,273 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$5,550 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$4,237 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,350วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,350วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย