Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 ปริมาณ
$36,195 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 ปริมาณ
$36,195 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
$1,256 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$561 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$504 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$742 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,197 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,162 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,356 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$12,226 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$6,712 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,807 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$2,671 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,195วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,195วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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