**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$40,861 ปริมาณ
$40,861 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$40,861 ปริมาณ
$40,861 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
20°C or below
$417 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$493 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$453 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$493 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$504 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,168 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,315 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,043 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,564 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,323 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$30,089 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,861วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,861วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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