Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 ปริมาณ
$39,199 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 ปริมาณ
$39,199 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
$1,250 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$761 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,444 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$8,519 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$8,302 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$6,440 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,564 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$2,508 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,595 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,754 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$1,062 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,199วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,199วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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