Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 ปริมาณ
$61,109 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 ปริมาณ
$61,109 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
47°F or below
$4,926 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$2,026 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$1,502 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$1,099 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$1,540 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$3,013 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$2,744 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$4,572 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$3,929 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$25,874 ปริมาณ
No
66°F or higher
$9,885 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,109วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,109วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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