Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's central station confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 15°C on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Following April 19's mid-April record high of 29.4°C under high-pressure ridging, a fast-moving low-pressure trough ushered in widespread spring rain, cloudy skies, and cool northerly winds that capped daytime warming despite model forecasts near 16–19°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation—typical suppressors of solar heating—aligned with historical April analogs for post-heat cooldowns. While KMA data carries final authority, an improbable late revision from quality checks could challenge positioning, though no such discrepancies have emerged.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on April 20?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$271,792 ปริมาณ
$271,792 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$271,792 ปริมาณ
$271,792 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's central station confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 15°C on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Following April 19's mid-April record high of 29.4°C under high-pressure ridging, a fast-moving low-pressure trough ushered in widespread spring rain, cloudy skies, and cool northerly winds that capped daytime warming despite model forecasts near 16–19°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation—typical suppressors of solar heating—aligned with historical April analogs for post-heat cooldowns. While KMA data carries final authority, an improbable late revision from quality checks could challenge positioning, though no such discrepancies have emerged.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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