Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 7?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 7?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 ปริมาณ
$282,616 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 ปริมาณ
$282,616 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
11°C or below
$1,817 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,276 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,825 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$8,590 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$11,141 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$22,109 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$17,765 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$68,179 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$81,590 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$26,056 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$35,266 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$282,616วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$282,616วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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