Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 23?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$224,649 ปริมาณ
$224,649 ปริมาณ
Apr 23, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$224,649 ปริมาณ
$224,649 ปริมาณ
Apr 23, 2026
8°C or below
$3,953 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$4,235 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$4,212 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$3,907 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,772 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$7,915 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$32,832 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$26,828 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$45,887 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$54,724 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$35,384 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$224,649วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$224,649วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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