Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$521,327 ปริมาณ
$521,327 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$521,327 ปริมาณ
$521,327 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
14°C or below
$12,155 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$9,981 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$16,711 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$37,076 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$44,808 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$47,096 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$46,520 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$98,896 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$130,002 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$31,845 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$46,238 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$521,327วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$521,327วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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