Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 11, 2026, anchored by official hourly observations from the resolution source—Shanghai Pudong International Airport meteorological station—which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF aligned with this outcome, projecting highs in the upper 20s°C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence typical for early May in the Yangtze River Delta. While temperatures have since trended downward into the evening, a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or sudden wind shift, with final daily maximum data expected from official reports within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 11?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$323,672 ปริมาณ
$323,672 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$323,672 ปริมาณ
$323,672 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
21°C or below
$10,067 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,832 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,074 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$13,587 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$13,220 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$13,693 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$20,922 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$24,395 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$35,564 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$107,250 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$68,070 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 11, 2026, anchored by official hourly observations from the resolution source—Shanghai Pudong International Airport meteorological station—which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF aligned with this outcome, projecting highs in the upper 20s°C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence typical for early May in the Yangtze River Delta. While temperatures have since trended downward into the evening, a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or sudden wind shift, with final daily maximum data expected from official reports within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,672วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 6:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 11, 2026, anchored by official hourly observations from the resolution source—Shanghai Pudong International Airport meteorological station—which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF aligned with this outcome, projecting highs in the upper 20s°C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence typical for early May in the Yangtze River Delta. While temperatures have since trended downward into the evening, a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or sudden wind shift, with final daily maximum data expected from official reports within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,672วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 6:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 11, 2026, anchored by official hourly observations from the resolution source—Shanghai Pudong International Airport meteorological station—which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF aligned with this outcome, projecting highs in the upper 20s°C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence typical for early May in the Yangtze River Delta. While temperatures have since trended downward into the evening, a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or sudden wind shift, with final daily maximum data expected from official reports within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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