Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 9?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$194,555 ปริมาณ
$194,555 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$194,555 ปริมาณ
$194,555 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
18°C or below
$6,379 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,527 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$16,132 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$17,098 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$28,034 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$26,791 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$21,070 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$31,960 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$14,146 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$11,640 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$12,779 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194,555วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194,555วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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