Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$183,846 ปริมาณ
$183,846 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$183,846 ปริมาณ
$183,846 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
26°C or below
$3,005 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$5,081 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$7,386 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,032 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$107,472 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$10,642 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$12,476 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$7,963 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$8,938 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$6,804 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$8,048 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$183,846วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$183,846วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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