MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 ปริมาณ
$65,399 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 ปริมาณ
$65,399 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$2,061 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$798 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,791 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,957 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$4,100 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$8,407 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$12,830 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$9,094 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,542 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$7,235 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$5,584 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,399วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,399วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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