Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 ปริมาณ
$77,854 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 ปริมาณ
$77,854 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$2,816 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$266 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,603 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$5,742 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$11,502 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$14,567 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$15,086 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$8,495 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,295 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,807 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$3,675 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,854วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,854วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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