The 10-year Treasury yield, currently hovering near 4.69–4.74 percent as of late August 2026, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a hawkish policy stance under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Recent data showing resilient services activity and elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have pushed yields back toward multi-year highs despite Treasury Secretary Bessent’s expanded buyback program for longer-dated securities. Market-implied rate paths reflect limited near-term easing expectations, with focus now on the July PCE release due August 26 and Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could shift term premium and real yield dynamics if they signal tolerance for higher-for-longer policy. Stronger growth or renewed supply concerns would likely cap any downside in yields through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225,402 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
3.9%
14%
3.8%
4%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
5%
3.5%
1%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
4%
1.0%
2%
$225,402 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$44,197 ปริมาณ
14%
3.8%
$41,312 ปริมาณ
4%
3.7%
$27,425 ปริมาณ
3%
3.6%
$5,589 ปริมาณ
5%
3.5%
$33,070 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%
$917 ปริมาณ
2%
2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
4%
1.0%
$40,570 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently hovering near 4.69–4.74 percent as of late August 2026, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a hawkish policy stance under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Recent data showing resilient services activity and elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have pushed yields back toward multi-year highs despite Treasury Secretary Bessent’s expanded buyback program for longer-dated securities. Market-implied rate paths reflect limited near-term easing expectations, with focus now on the July PCE release due August 26 and Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could shift term premium and real yield dynamics if they signal tolerance for higher-for-longer policy. Stronger growth or renewed supply concerns would likely cap any downside in yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,402วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently hovering near 4.69–4.74 percent as of late August 2026, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a hawkish policy stance under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Recent data showing resilient services activity and elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have pushed yields back toward multi-year highs despite Treasury Secretary Bessent’s expanded buyback program for longer-dated securities. Market-implied rate paths reflect limited near-term easing expectations, with focus now on the July PCE release due August 26 and Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could shift term premium and real yield dynamics if they signal tolerance for higher-for-longer policy. Stronger growth or renewed supply concerns would likely cap any downside in yields through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,402วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, currently hovering near 4.69–4.74 percent as of late August 2026, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a hawkish policy stance under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Recent data showing resilient services activity and elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have pushed yields back toward multi-year highs despite Treasury Secretary Bessent’s expanded buyback program for longer-dated securities. Market-implied rate paths reflect limited near-term easing expectations, with focus now on the July PCE release due August 26 and Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could shift term premium and real yield dynamics if they signal tolerance for higher-for-longer policy. Stronger growth or renewed supply concerns would likely cap any downside in yields through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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