The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized near 4.3%—trading between 4.25% and 4.32% over the past week—reflecting persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market that temper expectations for sharp declines before 2027. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% monthly to 3.3% annually, the highest since May 2024, while core prices rose 0.2%; nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, rebounding from February's contraction. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects federal funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying gradual easing from current levels around 3.6%. Traders price in limited downside amid these dynamics, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst ahead of May's CPI data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$213,129 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
73%
3.8%
49%
3.7%
43%
3.6%
40%
3.5%
30%
3.0%
22%
2.0%
12%
1.0%
4%
$213,129 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$40,059 ปริมาณ
73%
3.8%
$39,095 ปริมาณ
49%
3.7%
$26,270 ปริมาณ
43%
3.6%
$4,723 ปริมาณ
40%
3.5%
$31,386 ปริมาณ
30%
3.0%
$277 ปริมาณ
22%
2.0%
$326 ปริมาณ
12%
1.0%
$39,233 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized near 4.3%—trading between 4.25% and 4.32% over the past week—reflecting persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market that temper expectations for sharp declines before 2027. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% monthly to 3.3% annually, the highest since May 2024, while core prices rose 0.2%; nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, rebounding from February's contraction. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects federal funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying gradual easing from current levels around 3.6%. Traders price in limited downside amid these dynamics, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst ahead of May's CPI data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$213,129วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized near 4.3%—trading between 4.25% and 4.32% over the past week—reflecting persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market that temper expectations for sharp declines before 2027. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% monthly to 3.3% annually, the highest since May 2024, while core prices rose 0.2%; nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, rebounding from February's contraction. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects federal funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying gradual easing from current levels around 3.6%. Traders price in limited downside amid these dynamics, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst ahead of May's CPI data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$213,129วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized near 4.3%—trading between 4.25% and 4.32% over the past week—reflecting persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market that temper expectations for sharp declines before 2027. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% monthly to 3.3% annually, the highest since May 2024, while core prices rose 0.2%; nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, rebounding from February's contraction. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects federal funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026, implying gradual easing from current levels around 3.6%. Traders price in limited downside amid these dynamics, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst ahead of May's CPI data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย