Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว22–23 32%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
น้อยกว่า 22 18%
$684,025 ปริมาณ
$684,025 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
18%
22–23
32%
24–25
29%
26–27
20%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 32%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
น้อยกว่า 22 18%
$684,025 ปริมาณ
$684,025 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
$47,132 ปริมาณ
18%
22–23
$8,605 ปริมาณ
32%
24–25
$31,801 ปริมาณ
29%
26–27
$17,031 ปริมาณ
20%
28–29
$557,433 ปริมาณ
4%
30–31
$7,584 ปริมาณ
1%
32+
$14,438 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$684,025วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$684,025วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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