With 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle and 18 seats from each party on the ballot in November 2026, trader expectations cluster tightly around modest net losses or small gains for Republicans. Eighteen open seats due to term limits or retirements, combined with competitive contests in states such as Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, sustain uncertainty as voters weigh incumbency advantages against the midterm environment. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages in battleground races have reinforced balanced assessments rather than decisive shifts. Further separation in the market could emerge from national polling trends, candidate recruitment in open races, or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in key states.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว22–23 26%
น้อยกว่า 22 25%
24–25 20%
26–27 15%
$687,954 ปริมาณ
$687,954 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
31%
22–23
26%
24–25
20%
26–27
15%
28–29
1%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 26%
น้อยกว่า 22 25%
24–25 20%
26–27 15%
$687,954 ปริมาณ
$687,954 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
$48,155 ปริมาณ
31%
22–23
$8,930 ปริมาณ
26%
24–25
$31,968 ปริมาณ
20%
26–27
$17,655 ปริมาณ
15%
28–29
$557,539 ปริมาณ
1%
30–31
$8,203 ปริมาณ
1%
32+
$15,503 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.With 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle and 18 seats from each party on the ballot in November 2026, trader expectations cluster tightly around modest net losses or small gains for Republicans. Eighteen open seats due to term limits or retirements, combined with competitive contests in states such as Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, sustain uncertainty as voters weigh incumbency advantages against the midterm environment. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages in battleground races have reinforced balanced assessments rather than decisive shifts. Further separation in the market could emerge from national polling trends, candidate recruitment in open races, or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in key states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$687,954วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.With 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle and 18 seats from each party on the ballot in November 2026, trader expectations cluster tightly around modest net losses or small gains for Republicans. Eighteen open seats due to term limits or retirements, combined with competitive contests in states such as Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, sustain uncertainty as voters weigh incumbency advantages against the midterm environment. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages in battleground races have reinforced balanced assessments rather than decisive shifts. Further separation in the market could emerge from national polling trends, candidate recruitment in open races, or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in key states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$687,954วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle and 18 seats from each party on the ballot in November 2026, trader expectations cluster tightly around modest net losses or small gains for Republicans. Eighteen open seats due to term limits or retirements, combined with competitive contests in states such as Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, sustain uncertainty as voters weigh incumbency advantages against the midterm environment. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages in battleground races have reinforced balanced assessments rather than decisive shifts. Further separation in the market could emerge from national polling trends, candidate recruitment in open races, or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in key states.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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