Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,083 ปริมาณ
$289,083 ปริมาณ
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
55%
INC
45%
BJP
1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,083 ปริมาณ
$289,083 ปริมาณ
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
$36,066 ปริมาณ
55%
INC
$35,015 ปริมาณ
45%
BJP
$61,565 ปริมาณ
1%
BSP
$13,303 ปริมาณ
<1%
CPI
$29,090 ปริมาณ
<1%
JD(S)
$24,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
RSP
$14,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
KEC(M)
$13,616 ปริมาณ
<1%
NCP
$46,980 ปริมาณ
<1%
IUML
$14,943 ปริมาณ
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$289,083วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$289,083วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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