Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 18?
Lowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 ปริมาณ
$41,887 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 ปริมาณ
$41,887 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$500 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$714 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$685 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,967 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,450 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,751 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$14,507 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$853 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$13,750 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$510 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$200 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,887วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,887วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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