Météo-France's latest AROME model run and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF project a precise nocturnal minimum of 14°C in Paris on May 3, driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome amid a stable mild weather pattern over Île-de-France. This positioning stems from the past week's pleasant conditions (8–26°C range) continuing under light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, which limit radiative cooling despite typical May averages around 9–11°C lows. Morning observations already exceeding 13°C further solidify the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unanticipated clearing skies overnight enabling sharper cooling to 13°C or below, though current guidance deems this improbable; final station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 3?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$12,747 ปริมาณ
$12,747 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$12,747 ปริมาณ
$12,747 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
8°C or below
$424 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$899 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$457 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$633 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$809 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,029 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,950 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,692 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,913 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$1,750 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest AROME model run and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF project a precise nocturnal minimum of 14°C in Paris on May 3, driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome amid a stable mild weather pattern over Île-de-France. This positioning stems from the past week's pleasant conditions (8–26°C range) continuing under light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, which limit radiative cooling despite typical May averages around 9–11°C lows. Morning observations already exceeding 13°C further solidify the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unanticipated clearing skies overnight enabling sharper cooling to 13°C or below, though current guidance deems this improbable; final station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,747วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest AROME model run and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF project a precise nocturnal minimum of 14°C in Paris on May 3, driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome amid a stable mild weather pattern over Île-de-France. This positioning stems from the past week's pleasant conditions (8–26°C range) continuing under light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, which limit radiative cooling despite typical May averages around 9–11°C lows. Morning observations already exceeding 13°C further solidify the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unanticipated clearing skies overnight enabling sharper cooling to 13°C or below, though current guidance deems this improbable; final station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,747วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Météo-France's latest AROME model run and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF project a precise nocturnal minimum of 14°C in Paris on May 3, driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome amid a stable mild weather pattern over Île-de-France. This positioning stems from the past week's pleasant conditions (8–26°C range) continuing under light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, which limit radiative cooling despite typical May averages around 9–11°C lows. Morning observations already exceeding 13°C further solidify the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unanticipated clearing skies overnight enabling sharper cooling to 13°C or below, though current guidance deems this improbable; final station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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