Forecast models from major centers including GFS and ECMWF currently indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 7 near 18–20°C, driven by a moderating southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that limits nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome near the historical late-summer average while remaining well above the long-term September 7 low of 12.4°C. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and wind speeds overnight, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C readings low but non-zero if the front arrives earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve the timing of any showers and the strength of the gradient, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 7?
15°C or below 69%
20°C 45%
21°C 37%
18°C 26%
15°C or below
69%
16°C
20%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
45%
21°C
37%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
3%
15°C or below 69%
20°C 45%
21°C 37%
18°C 26%
15°C or below
69%
16°C
20%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
45%
21°C
37%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major centers including GFS and ECMWF currently indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 7 near 18–20°C, driven by a moderating southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that limits nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome near the historical late-summer average while remaining well above the long-term September 7 low of 12.4°C. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and wind speeds overnight, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C readings low but non-zero if the front arrives earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs that resolve the timing of any showers and the strength of the gradient, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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