Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco overnight low in the upper 50s for August 21, 2026, driven by persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate west-northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Typical August climatology yields an average low near 56 °F, with the current forecast range of 56–58 °F reflecting stable onshore flow and elevated dew points around 55 °F that suppress further temperature drops. Traders have priced the 58–59 °F bin highest because ensemble guidance shows little deviation from this narrow band absent an unexpected clearing or stronger gradient. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in 500-mb heights will determine whether probabilities migrate toward the adjacent 54–55 °F or 60–61 °F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 21?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 21?
58-59°F 52%
62-63°F 51%
60-61°F 29%
54-55°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
46%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
51%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 52%
62-63°F 51%
60-61°F 29%
54-55°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
49°F or below
$245 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-51°F
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
52-53°F
$138 ปริมาณ
9%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
56-57°F
$2 ปริมาณ
28%
58-59°F
$6 ปริมาณ
46%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
62-63°F
$169 ปริมาณ
51%
64-65°F
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
68°F or higher
$142 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco overnight low in the upper 50s for August 21, 2026, driven by persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate west-northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Typical August climatology yields an average low near 56 °F, with the current forecast range of 56–58 °F reflecting stable onshore flow and elevated dew points around 55 °F that suppress further temperature drops. Traders have priced the 58–59 °F bin highest because ensemble guidance shows little deviation from this narrow band absent an unexpected clearing or stronger gradient. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in 500-mb heights will determine whether probabilities migrate toward the adjacent 54–55 °F or 60–61 °F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco overnight low in the upper 50s for August 21, 2026, driven by persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate west-northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Typical August climatology yields an average low near 56 °F, with the current forecast range of 56–58 °F reflecting stable onshore flow and elevated dew points around 55 °F that suppress further temperature drops. Traders have priced the 58–59 °F bin highest because ensemble guidance shows little deviation from this narrow band absent an unexpected clearing or stronger gradient. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in 500-mb heights will determine whether probabilities migrate toward the adjacent 54–55 °F or 60–61 °F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco overnight low in the upper 50s for August 21, 2026, driven by persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate west-northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Typical August climatology yields an average low near 56 °F, with the current forecast range of 56–58 °F reflecting stable onshore flow and elevated dew points around 55 °F that suppress further temperature drops. Traders have priced the 58–59 °F bin highest because ensemble guidance shows little deviation from this narrow band absent an unexpected clearing or stronger gradient. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in 500-mb heights will determine whether probabilities migrate toward the adjacent 54–55 °F or 60–61 °F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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