Traders see 28–29°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Shanghai on July 16 because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models currently cluster around that range for the overnight period. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep lows elevated compared with rural surroundings. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the timing of any passing showers, which could either suppress or enhance cooling depending on cloud cover. Historical July climatology places average overnight lows near 26–28°C, so the tightly matched market probabilities reflect both the narrow forecast spread and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance just two days out. New model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates will provide the next clear signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 16?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$26,673 ปริมาณ
$26,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$26,673 ปริมาณ
$26,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
23°C or below
$482 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$523 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,205 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$864 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,545 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,973 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,488 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$7,195 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$761 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$703 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$933 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 28–29°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Shanghai on July 16 because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models currently cluster around that range for the overnight period. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep lows elevated compared with rural surroundings. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the timing of any passing showers, which could either suppress or enhance cooling depending on cloud cover. Historical July climatology places average overnight lows near 26–28°C, so the tightly matched market probabilities reflect both the narrow forecast spread and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance just two days out. New model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates will provide the next clear signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 28–29°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Shanghai on July 16 because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models currently cluster around that range for the overnight period. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep lows elevated compared with rural surroundings. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the timing of any passing showers, which could either suppress or enhance cooling depending on cloud cover. Historical July climatology places average overnight lows near 26–28°C, so the tightly matched market probabilities reflect both the narrow forecast spread and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance just two days out. New model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates will provide the next clear signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders see 28–29°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Shanghai on July 16 because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models currently cluster around that range for the overnight period. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep lows elevated compared with rural surroundings. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the timing of any passing showers, which could either suppress or enhance cooling depending on cloud cover. Historical July climatology places average overnight lows near 26–28°C, so the tightly matched market probabilities reflect both the narrow forecast spread and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance just two days out. New model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates will provide the next clear signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย