Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
20°C or below 90%
30°C or higher 77%
26°C 73%
21°C 72%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
72%
22°C
69%
23°C
69%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
73%
27°C
69%
28°C
69%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
77%
20°C or below 90%
30°C or higher 77%
26°C 73%
21°C 72%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
72%
22°C
69%
23°C
69%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
73%
27°C
69%
28°C
69%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4 centers on 24°C or 25°C, reflecting model agreement around the seasonal average low of 24–26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent northwest winds, high humidity near 80%, and overnight cloud cover from recent thunderstorms are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime minima elevated compared to drier periods. Light rain chances on the 4th could further moderate the low by a degree or two depending on timing and intensity. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with small forecast spreads between 23–26°C explaining the narrow implied probabilities across adjacent outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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