Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature of 19–23°C on September 4 in Wuhan, driven by clearing skies after recent overcast and light rain conditions that had limited overnight radiative cooling. Northeast winds under 3–4 on the Beaufort scale will promote mixing but allow stronger surface cooling under high pressure, widening the diurnal range to 10–12°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, with recent model runs showing slight downward revisions as cloud cover decreases. Traders appear to weight the 23°C and 24°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for extremes align with low likelihood of anomalous advection or prolonged clear-sky enhancement. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
21°C 81%
22°C 81%
19°C 77%
25°C 77%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
42%
19°C
77%
20°C
19%
21°C
81%
22°C
81%
23°C
54%
24°C
43%
25°C
77%
26°C
77%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
41%
21°C 81%
22°C 81%
19°C 77%
25°C 77%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
20°C
$16 ปริมาณ
19%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
54%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature of 19–23°C on September 4 in Wuhan, driven by clearing skies after recent overcast and light rain conditions that had limited overnight radiative cooling. Northeast winds under 3–4 on the Beaufort scale will promote mixing but allow stronger surface cooling under high pressure, widening the diurnal range to 10–12°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, with recent model runs showing slight downward revisions as cloud cover decreases. Traders appear to weight the 23°C and 24°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for extremes align with low likelihood of anomalous advection or prolonged clear-sky enhancement. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature of 19–23°C on September 4 in Wuhan, driven by clearing skies after recent overcast and light rain conditions that had limited overnight radiative cooling. Northeast winds under 3–4 on the Beaufort scale will promote mixing but allow stronger surface cooling under high pressure, widening the diurnal range to 10–12°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, with recent model runs showing slight downward revisions as cloud cover decreases. Traders appear to weight the 23°C and 24°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for extremes align with low likelihood of anomalous advection or prolonged clear-sky enhancement. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature of 19–23°C on September 4 in Wuhan, driven by clearing skies after recent overcast and light rain conditions that had limited overnight radiative cooling. Northeast winds under 3–4 on the Beaufort scale will promote mixing but allow stronger surface cooling under high pressure, widening the diurnal range to 10–12°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, with recent model runs showing slight downward revisions as cloud cover decreases. Traders appear to weight the 23°C and 24°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for extremes align with low likelihood of anomalous advection or prolonged clear-sky enhancement. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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