Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a G4 (severe) or G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm by April 30, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest 27-day outlook showing planetary A indices peaking at just 20—levels consistent with unsettled to active conditions (G1-G2 at most), far below the 100+ required for G4 thresholds on the Kp scale. Solar Cycle 25, now in its declining phase post-2025 maximum, features subdued sunspot activity, with region 4366 offering only a 5% X-class flare chance and no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) anticipated. Recent G2 watches stemmed from coronal hole high-speed streams, not flare-driven CMEs essential for major events. An unforeseen delta-class sunspot emergence with a potent, timed CME could shift odds, though daily SWPC updates through month's end indicate low risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMajor solar storm by April 30?
Major solar storm by April 30?
$12,480 ปริมาณ
$12,480 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
$12,480 ปริมาณ
$12,480 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a G4 (severe) or G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm by April 30, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest 27-day outlook showing planetary A indices peaking at just 20—levels consistent with unsettled to active conditions (G1-G2 at most), far below the 100+ required for G4 thresholds on the Kp scale. Solar Cycle 25, now in its declining phase post-2025 maximum, features subdued sunspot activity, with region 4366 offering only a 5% X-class flare chance and no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) anticipated. Recent G2 watches stemmed from coronal hole high-speed streams, not flare-driven CMEs essential for major events. An unforeseen delta-class sunspot emergence with a potent, timed CME could shift odds, though daily SWPC updates through month's end indicate low risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,480วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a G4 (severe) or G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm by April 30, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest 27-day outlook showing planetary A indices peaking at just 20—levels consistent with unsettled to active conditions (G1-G2 at most), far below the 100+ required for G4 thresholds on the Kp scale. Solar Cycle 25, now in its declining phase post-2025 maximum, features subdued sunspot activity, with region 4366 offering only a 5% X-class flare chance and no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) anticipated. Recent G2 watches stemmed from coronal hole high-speed streams, not flare-driven CMEs essential for major events. An unforeseen delta-class sunspot emergence with a potent, timed CME could shift odds, though daily SWPC updates through month's end indicate low risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,480วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a G4 (severe) or G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm by April 30, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest 27-day outlook showing planetary A indices peaking at just 20—levels consistent with unsettled to active conditions (G1-G2 at most), far below the 100+ required for G4 thresholds on the Kp scale. Solar Cycle 25, now in its declining phase post-2025 maximum, features subdued sunspot activity, with region 4366 offering only a 5% X-class flare chance and no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) anticipated. Recent G2 watches stemmed from coronal hole high-speed streams, not flare-driven CMEs essential for major events. An unforeseen delta-class sunspot emergence with a potent, timed CME could shift odds, though daily SWPC updates through month's end indicate low risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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