**Deb Haaland's 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Mexico governor stems from her overwhelming 73% delegate support at the March 7 Democratic Party pre-primary convention, securing automatic ballot placement and signaling strong party establishment backing, including endorsements from the state's three congressional representatives and Sen. Ben Ray Luján.** Recent campaign finance reports, filed this week, show Haaland raising over $4 million—more than double Sam Bregman's haul—positioning her for dominant ad spending ahead of the June 2 primary. Bregman's 19.5% reflects his profile as Bernalillo County district attorney and recent debate challenges to Haaland, though February internal polls had her comfortably ahead. Ken Miyagishima's February switch to an independent bid removes him from the Democratic field, limiting him to 0.3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDeb Haaland 81%
Sam Bregman 20%
Ken Miyagishima <1%
$20,847 ปริมาณ
$20,847 ปริมาณ
Deb Haaland
81%
Sam Bregman
20%
Ken Miyagishima
<1%
Deb Haaland 81%
Sam Bregman 20%
Ken Miyagishima <1%
$20,847 ปริมาณ
$20,847 ปริมาณ
Deb Haaland
81%
Sam Bregman
20%
Ken Miyagishima
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Deb Haaland's 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Mexico governor stems from her overwhelming 73% delegate support at the March 7 Democratic Party pre-primary convention, securing automatic ballot placement and signaling strong party establishment backing, including endorsements from the state's three congressional representatives and Sen. Ben Ray Luján.** Recent campaign finance reports, filed this week, show Haaland raising over $4 million—more than double Sam Bregman's haul—positioning her for dominant ad spending ahead of the June 2 primary. Bregman's 19.5% reflects his profile as Bernalillo County district attorney and recent debate challenges to Haaland, though February internal polls had her comfortably ahead. Ken Miyagishima's February switch to an independent bid removes him from the Democratic field, limiting him to 0.3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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