Anthropic’s latest Haiku-tier large language model remains Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, and still positioned as the company’s fastest, lowest-cost option with strong coding and agentic performance relative to prior Sonnet tiers. Higher-tier lines have advanced since then—Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 launched through mid-2026—creating a widening gap that traders cite as the main catalyst for expecting a Haiku successor soon. Prediction-market-implied odds cluster around late October 2026, consistent with historical patterns where Haiku updates trail flagship refreshes by weeks to months and align with the model’s approaching deprecation window. No official timeline or developer conference has been announced, leaving room for slippage if engineering priorities shift toward reasoning or safety features.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
30%
October 31
59%
December 31
52%
$9,539 ปริมาณ
October 15
$241 ปริมาณ
30%
October 31
$987 ปริมาณ
59%
December 31
$4,559 ปริมาณ
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s latest Haiku-tier large language model remains Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, and still positioned as the company’s fastest, lowest-cost option with strong coding and agentic performance relative to prior Sonnet tiers. Higher-tier lines have advanced since then—Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 launched through mid-2026—creating a widening gap that traders cite as the main catalyst for expecting a Haiku successor soon. Prediction-market-implied odds cluster around late October 2026, consistent with historical patterns where Haiku updates trail flagship refreshes by weeks to months and align with the model’s approaching deprecation window. No official timeline or developer conference has been announced, leaving room for slippage if engineering priorities shift toward reasoning or safety features.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s latest Haiku-tier large language model remains Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, and still positioned as the company’s fastest, lowest-cost option with strong coding and agentic performance relative to prior Sonnet tiers. Higher-tier lines have advanced since then—Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 launched through mid-2026—creating a widening gap that traders cite as the main catalyst for expecting a Haiku successor soon. Prediction-market-implied odds cluster around late October 2026, consistent with historical patterns where Haiku updates trail flagship refreshes by weeks to months and align with the model’s approaching deprecation window. No official timeline or developer conference has been announced, leaving room for slippage if engineering priorities shift toward reasoning or safety features.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Haiku-tier large language model remains Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, and still positioned as the company’s fastest, lowest-cost option with strong coding and agentic performance relative to prior Sonnet tiers. Higher-tier lines have advanced since then—Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 launched through mid-2026—creating a widening gap that traders cite as the main catalyst for expecting a Haiku successor soon. Prediction-market-implied odds cluster around late October 2026, consistent with historical patterns where Haiku updates trail flagship refreshes by weeks to months and align with the model’s approaching deprecation window. No official timeline or developer conference has been announced, leaving room for slippage if engineering priorities shift toward reasoning or safety features.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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