Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its mid-tier Claude lineup, with Sonnet 4.6 shipping in February 2026 and the more agentic Sonnet 5 following on June 30, has shaped trader expectations for the next release. Sonnet 5 delivered substantial gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and knowledge work while approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, reinforcing the lab’s strategy of pushing capable agents into the cheaper tier. Market-implied odds currently cluster around mid-October 2026, consistent with roughly four-month gaps between recent Sonnet updates and the absence of any confirmed timeline or leaks since the June launch. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing emphasis on agentic features and safety constraints, could accelerate or delay the next version depending on internal progress and external benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$19,295 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
22%
October 31
80%
December 31
89%
$19,295 ปริมาณ
September 30
$975 ปริมาณ
22%
October 31
$10,804 ปริมาณ
80%
December 31
$3,777 ปริมาณ
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its mid-tier Claude lineup, with Sonnet 4.6 shipping in February 2026 and the more agentic Sonnet 5 following on June 30, has shaped trader expectations for the next release. Sonnet 5 delivered substantial gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and knowledge work while approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, reinforcing the lab’s strategy of pushing capable agents into the cheaper tier. Market-implied odds currently cluster around mid-October 2026, consistent with roughly four-month gaps between recent Sonnet updates and the absence of any confirmed timeline or leaks since the June launch. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing emphasis on agentic features and safety constraints, could accelerate or delay the next version depending on internal progress and external benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,295วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its mid-tier Claude lineup, with Sonnet 4.6 shipping in February 2026 and the more agentic Sonnet 5 following on June 30, has shaped trader expectations for the next release. Sonnet 5 delivered substantial gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and knowledge work while approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, reinforcing the lab’s strategy of pushing capable agents into the cheaper tier. Market-implied odds currently cluster around mid-October 2026, consistent with roughly four-month gaps between recent Sonnet updates and the absence of any confirmed timeline or leaks since the June launch. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing emphasis on agentic features and safety constraints, could accelerate or delay the next version depending on internal progress and external benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,295วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its mid-tier Claude lineup, with Sonnet 4.6 shipping in February 2026 and the more agentic Sonnet 5 following on June 30, has shaped trader expectations for the next release. Sonnet 5 delivered substantial gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and knowledge work while approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, reinforcing the lab’s strategy of pushing capable agents into the cheaper tier. Market-implied odds currently cluster around mid-October 2026, consistent with roughly four-month gaps between recent Sonnet updates and the absence of any confirmed timeline or leaks since the June launch. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing emphasis on agentic features and safety constraints, could accelerate or delay the next version depending on internal progress and external benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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