On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s roughly three-month development cadence since releasing the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5 variants on June 9, 2026, forms the main driver behind trader sentiment for the next Mythos-class large language model. Frontier AI labs typically ship major updates every three to five months, and Polymarket odds reflect that historical pattern alongside expectations for continued safety testing around cybersecurity and agentic capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks have surfaced in recent weeks, leaving markets sensitive to any signals on compute allocation, regulatory feedback, or competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. A qualifying public or high-tier release by late September or October would align with current trader consensus.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s roughly three-month development cadence since releasing the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5 variants on June 9, 2026, forms the main driver behind trader sentiment for the next Mythos-class large language model. Frontier AI labs typically ship major updates every three to five months, and Polymarket odds reflect that historical pattern alongside expectations for continued safety testing around cybersecurity and agentic capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks have surfaced in recent weeks, leaving markets sensitive to any signals on compute allocation, regulatory feedback, or competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. A qualifying public or high-tier release by late September or October would align with current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s roughly three-month development cadence since releasing the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5 variants on June 9, 2026, forms the main driver behind trader sentiment for the next Mythos-class large language model. Frontier AI labs typically ship major updates every three to five months, and Polymarket odds reflect that historical pattern alongside expectations for continued safety testing around cybersecurity and agentic capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks have surfaced in recent weeks, leaving markets sensitive to any signals on compute allocation, regulatory feedback, or competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. A qualifying public or high-tier release by late September or October would align with current trader consensus.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s roughly three-month development cadence since releasing the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5 variants on June 9, 2026, forms the main driver behind trader sentiment for the next Mythos-class large language model. Frontier AI labs typically ship major updates every three to five months, and Polymarket odds reflect that historical pattern alongside expectations for continued safety testing around cybersecurity and agentic capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks have surfaced in recent weeks, leaving markets sensitive to any signals on compute allocation, regulatory feedback, or competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. A qualifying public or high-tier release by late September or October would align with current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
ณ วันนี้ "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $1.1 million ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Jun 10, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง
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