Recent model releases have accelerated progress on coding arenas, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol (general availability July 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 variants posting leading scores on blind human-voted leaderboards and SWE-bench Verified. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 have also climbed rapidly, pushing top Arena Elo ratings near or above 1690 while open-weight entries narrow the gap on agentic tasks. Traders see strong implied probability of further gains by year-end given the four-month runway, frequent capability jumps from new training runs, and competitive pressure among labs, though exact thresholds depend on whether incremental updates or major frontier releases materialize before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$185,917 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
1560
43%
1580
21%
1600
15%
$185,917 ปริมาณ
1560
$89,000 ปริมาณ
43%
1580
$63,524 ปริมาณ
21%
1600
$33,392 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent model releases have accelerated progress on coding arenas, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol (general availability July 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 variants posting leading scores on blind human-voted leaderboards and SWE-bench Verified. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 have also climbed rapidly, pushing top Arena Elo ratings near or above 1690 while open-weight entries narrow the gap on agentic tasks. Traders see strong implied probability of further gains by year-end given the four-month runway, frequent capability jumps from new training runs, and competitive pressure among labs, though exact thresholds depend on whether incremental updates or major frontier releases materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,917วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent model releases have accelerated progress on coding arenas, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol (general availability July 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 variants posting leading scores on blind human-voted leaderboards and SWE-bench Verified. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 have also climbed rapidly, pushing top Arena Elo ratings near or above 1690 while open-weight entries narrow the gap on agentic tasks. Traders see strong implied probability of further gains by year-end given the four-month runway, frequent capability jumps from new training runs, and competitive pressure among labs, though exact thresholds depend on whether incremental updates or major frontier releases materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,917วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent model releases have accelerated progress on coding arenas, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol (general availability July 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 variants posting leading scores on blind human-voted leaderboards and SWE-bench Verified. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 have also climbed rapidly, pushing top Arena Elo ratings near or above 1690 while open-weight entries narrow the gap on agentic tasks. Traders see strong implied probability of further gains by year-end given the four-month runway, frequent capability jumps from new training runs, and competitive pressure among labs, though exact thresholds depend on whether incremental updates or major frontier releases materialize before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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