Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 2.5-3 inches (34%) and below 2.5 inches (30%) for total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA), driven by 2.22 inches already accumulated through April 17 per National Weather Service data—above the climatological pace of about 1.8 inches but facing a dry outlook for the remaining 13 days. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April forecast indicates 40-50% odds of below-normal totals (historical April average: 3.18 inches) due to persistent upper-level ridging over the western U.S., suppressing Pacific storm tracks under ENSO-neutral conditions. Model ensembles like GFS show minimal additional rainfall (0.2-0.6 inches projected), though late-month troughs could tip totals higher; watch NWS extended outlooks for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in Seattle in April?
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
2.5-3" 33%
<2.5" 30%
3-3.5" 27%
3.5-4" 16.2%
$46,682 ปริมาณ
$46,682 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
<2.5"
30%
2.5-3"
33%
3-3.5"
27%
3.5-4"
16%
4-4.5"
4%
4.5-5"
5%
>5"
2%
2.5-3" 33%
<2.5" 30%
3-3.5" 27%
3.5-4" 16.2%
$46,682 ปริมาณ
$46,682 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
<2.5"
$13,165 ปริมาณ
30%
2.5-3"
$8,873 ปริมาณ
33%
3-3.5"
$19,217 ปริมาณ
27%
3.5-4"
$1,485 ปริมาณ
16%
4-4.5"
$1,377 ปริมาณ
4%
4.5-5"
$1,354 ปริมาณ
5%
>5"
$1,211 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 2.5-3 inches (34%) and below 2.5 inches (30%) for total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA), driven by 2.22 inches already accumulated through April 17 per National Weather Service data—above the climatological pace of about 1.8 inches but facing a dry outlook for the remaining 13 days. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April forecast indicates 40-50% odds of below-normal totals (historical April average: 3.18 inches) due to persistent upper-level ridging over the western U.S., suppressing Pacific storm tracks under ENSO-neutral conditions. Model ensembles like GFS show minimal additional rainfall (0.2-0.6 inches projected), though late-month troughs could tip totals higher; watch NWS extended outlooks for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,682วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 2.5-3 inches (34%) and below 2.5 inches (30%) for total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA), driven by 2.22 inches already accumulated through April 17 per National Weather Service data—above the climatological pace of about 1.8 inches but facing a dry outlook for the remaining 13 days. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April forecast indicates 40-50% odds of below-normal totals (historical April average: 3.18 inches) due to persistent upper-level ridging over the western U.S., suppressing Pacific storm tracks under ENSO-neutral conditions. Model ensembles like GFS show minimal additional rainfall (0.2-0.6 inches projected), though late-month troughs could tip totals higher; watch NWS extended outlooks for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,682วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 2.5-3 inches (34%) and below 2.5 inches (30%) for total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA), driven by 2.22 inches already accumulated through April 17 per National Weather Service data—above the climatological pace of about 1.8 inches but facing a dry outlook for the remaining 13 days. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April forecast indicates 40-50% odds of below-normal totals (historical April average: 3.18 inches) due to persistent upper-level ridging over the western U.S., suppressing Pacific storm tracks under ENSO-neutral conditions. Model ensembles like GFS show minimal additional rainfall (0.2-0.6 inches projected), though late-month troughs could tip totals higher; watch NWS extended outlooks for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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