The high probability that H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated failure to advance beyond the House. Versions passed the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet the Senate has not overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold despite Republican efforts to attach provisions to the NDAA or pursue them via reconciliation. With only 53 Republican seats and no Democratic support materializing, plus stalled votes and procedural setbacks through mid-2026, the bill remains pending without a clear path to enactment before year-end. Traders price in these institutional barriers and legislative calendar constraints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$190,030 ปริมาณ
$190,030 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$190,030 ปริมาณ
$190,030 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability that H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated failure to advance beyond the House. Versions passed the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet the Senate has not overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold despite Republican efforts to attach provisions to the NDAA or pursue them via reconciliation. With only 53 Republican seats and no Democratic support materializing, plus stalled votes and procedural setbacks through mid-2026, the bill remains pending without a clear path to enactment before year-end. Traders price in these institutional barriers and legislative calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$190,030วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability that H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated failure to advance beyond the House. Versions passed the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet the Senate has not overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold despite Republican efforts to attach provisions to the NDAA or pursue them via reconciliation. With only 53 Republican seats and no Democratic support materializing, plus stalled votes and procedural setbacks through mid-2026, the bill remains pending without a clear path to enactment before year-end. Traders price in these institutional barriers and legislative calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$190,030วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability that H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated failure to advance beyond the House. Versions passed the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet the Senate has not overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold despite Republican efforts to attach provisions to the NDAA or pursue them via reconciliation. With only 53 Republican seats and no Democratic support materializing, plus stalled votes and procedural setbacks through mid-2026, the bill remains pending without a clear path to enactment before year-end. Traders price in these institutional barriers and legislative calendar constraints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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