Polymarket traders assign 51.5% implied probability to a SpaceX IPO valuation of $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely aligning with the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting $1.75 trillion and subsequently raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports two days later, amid a potential June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. This trader consensus reflects surging optimism from February's xAI merger, which integrated AI capabilities into SpaceX's vertically integrated model, alongside Starlink's revenue trajectory nearing $20 billion annually and Starship milestones expanding addressable markets. Recent secondary trading values shares at around $1.21 trillion, supporting lower buckets like 1.25-1.50T at 17.3%, while regulatory reviews and market conditions loom as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 18%
1.50-1.75T 14.5%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$127,374 ปริมาณ
$127,374 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
4%
1.25-1.50T
17%
1.50-1.75T
14%
1.75-2.00T
52%
2.00-2.25T
18%
2.25-2.50T
3%
2.50T+
3%
1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 18%
1.50-1.75T 14.5%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$127,374 ปริมาณ
$127,374 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
$58,779 ปริมาณ
4%
1.25-1.50T
$15,898 ปริมาณ
17%
1.50-1.75T
$8,031 ปริมาณ
14%
1.75-2.00T
$11,059 ปริมาณ
52%
2.00-2.25T
$13,559 ปริมาณ
18%
2.25-2.50T
$9,747 ปริมาณ
3%
2.50T+
$10,301 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign 51.5% implied probability to a SpaceX IPO valuation of $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely aligning with the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting $1.75 trillion and subsequently raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports two days later, amid a potential June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. This trader consensus reflects surging optimism from February's xAI merger, which integrated AI capabilities into SpaceX's vertically integrated model, alongside Starlink's revenue trajectory nearing $20 billion annually and Starship milestones expanding addressable markets. Recent secondary trading values shares at around $1.21 trillion, supporting lower buckets like 1.25-1.50T at 17.3%, while regulatory reviews and market conditions loom as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,374ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign 51.5% implied probability to a SpaceX IPO valuation of $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely aligning with the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting $1.75 trillion and subsequently raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports two days later, amid a potential June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. This trader consensus reflects surging optimism from February's xAI merger, which integrated AI capabilities into SpaceX's vertically integrated model, alongside Starlink's revenue trajectory nearing $20 billion annually and Starship milestones expanding addressable markets. Recent secondary trading values shares at around $1.21 trillion, supporting lower buckets like 1.25-1.50T at 17.3%, while regulatory reviews and market conditions loom as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,374ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign 51.5% implied probability to a SpaceX IPO valuation of $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely aligning with the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting $1.75 trillion and subsequently raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports two days later, amid a potential June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. This trader consensus reflects surging optimism from February's xAI merger, which integrated AI capabilities into SpaceX's vertically integrated model, alongside Starlink's revenue trajectory nearing $20 billion annually and Starship milestones expanding addressable markets. Recent secondary trading values shares at around $1.21 trillion, supporting lower buckets like 1.25-1.50T at 17.3%, while regulatory reviews and market conditions loom as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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