Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12+ downtime days for Anthropic's Claude AI platform at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a string of confirmed service disruptions already totaling at least seven unstable days through April 14—including major outages on April 7, intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13, a 40-minute full outage plus 73 minutes partial on April 15, and resolved Google Drive upload errors on April 17. This mirrors March's high-downtime pattern, amid scaling challenges from surging demand, API strain, and recent rollouts like Claude Opus 4.7 and Claude Design research preview. With half of April remaining, traders price in continued infrastructure pressures, though aggressive fixes could limit further incidents and cap the count below 12.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว12+ 90%
9-11 10%
6-8 <1%
$64,829 ปริมาณ
$64,829 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
6-8
<1%
9-11
10%
12+
90%
12+ 90%
9-11 10%
6-8 <1%
$64,829 ปริมาณ
$64,829 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
6-8
$9,644 ปริมาณ
<1%
9-11
$8,215 ปริมาณ
10%
12+
$14,673 ปริมาณ
90%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12+ downtime days for Anthropic's Claude AI platform at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a string of confirmed service disruptions already totaling at least seven unstable days through April 14—including major outages on April 7, intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13, a 40-minute full outage plus 73 minutes partial on April 15, and resolved Google Drive upload errors on April 17. This mirrors March's high-downtime pattern, amid scaling challenges from surging demand, API strain, and recent rollouts like Claude Opus 4.7 and Claude Design research preview. With half of April remaining, traders price in continued infrastructure pressures, though aggressive fixes could limit further incidents and cap the count below 12.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,829วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12+ downtime days for Anthropic's Claude AI platform at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a string of confirmed service disruptions already totaling at least seven unstable days through April 14—including major outages on April 7, intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13, a 40-minute full outage plus 73 minutes partial on April 15, and resolved Google Drive upload errors on April 17. This mirrors March's high-downtime pattern, amid scaling challenges from surging demand, API strain, and recent rollouts like Claude Opus 4.7 and Claude Design research preview. With half of April remaining, traders price in continued infrastructure pressures, though aggressive fixes could limit further incidents and cap the count below 12.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,829วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12+ downtime days for Anthropic's Claude AI platform at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a string of confirmed service disruptions already totaling at least seven unstable days through April 14—including major outages on April 7, intermittent HTTP 500 errors on April 13, a 40-minute full outage plus 73 minutes partial on April 15, and resolved Google Drive upload errors on April 17. This mirrors March's high-downtime pattern, amid scaling challenges from surging demand, API strain, and recent rollouts like Claude Opus 4.7 and Claude Design research preview. With half of April remaining, traders price in continued infrastructure pressures, though aggressive fixes could limit further incidents and cap the count below 12.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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