Recent parliamentary proposals in Iran to exit the NPT, submitted August 21, 2026, by lawmakers citing U.S. strikes and related casualties, reflect heightened rhetoric following 2025–2026 military actions and IAEA access suspensions. These motions remain at early legislative stages without passage or endorsement from the Supreme National Security Council. Iran continues to affirm its NPT Article IV rights and non-weaponization stance while operating with limited IAEA monitoring. Formal withdrawal under Article X requires three months’ notice and would trigger major diplomatic, sanctions, and security consequences. Traders assign an 87.3% implied probability to “No” before 2027 due to these procedural, institutional, and strategic hurdles amid active U.S.-Iran diplomatic channels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
13% โอกาส
$380,280 ปริมาณ
$380,280 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
13% โอกาส
$380,280 ปริมาณ
$380,280 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent parliamentary proposals in Iran to exit the NPT, submitted August 21, 2026, by lawmakers citing U.S. strikes and related casualties, reflect heightened rhetoric following 2025–2026 military actions and IAEA access suspensions. These motions remain at early legislative stages without passage or endorsement from the Supreme National Security Council. Iran continues to affirm its NPT Article IV rights and non-weaponization stance while operating with limited IAEA monitoring. Formal withdrawal under Article X requires three months’ notice and would trigger major diplomatic, sanctions, and security consequences. Traders assign an 87.3% implied probability to “No” before 2027 due to these procedural, institutional, and strategic hurdles amid active U.S.-Iran diplomatic channels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$380,280วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent parliamentary proposals in Iran to exit the NPT, submitted August 21, 2026, by lawmakers citing U.S. strikes and related casualties, reflect heightened rhetoric following 2025–2026 military actions and IAEA access suspensions. These motions remain at early legislative stages without passage or endorsement from the Supreme National Security Council. Iran continues to affirm its NPT Article IV rights and non-weaponization stance while operating with limited IAEA monitoring. Formal withdrawal under Article X requires three months’ notice and would trigger major diplomatic, sanctions, and security consequences. Traders assign an 87.3% implied probability to “No” before 2027 due to these procedural, institutional, and strategic hurdles amid active U.S.-Iran diplomatic channels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$380,280วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent parliamentary proposals in Iran to exit the NPT, submitted August 21, 2026, by lawmakers citing U.S. strikes and related casualties, reflect heightened rhetoric following 2025–2026 military actions and IAEA access suspensions. These motions remain at early legislative stages without passage or endorsement from the Supreme National Security Council. Iran continues to affirm its NPT Article IV rights and non-weaponization stance while operating with limited IAEA monitoring. Formal withdrawal under Article X requires three months’ notice and would trigger major diplomatic, sanctions, and security consequences. Traders assign an 87.3% implied probability to “No” before 2027 due to these procedural, institutional, and strategic hurdles amid active U.S.-Iran diplomatic channels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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