Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025–2026 and related IAEA disputes, with parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and statements in July 2026 describing Iran as operating without full safeguards access. However, no formal withdrawal notice has been issued, and senior figures including Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi have stressed that any exit requires extensive legal, security, and strategic review by relevant authorities. Iran continues to participate in NPT-related forums while suspending IAEA cooperation rather than exiting the treaty outright. With only months remaining before 2027 and no parliamentary or Guardian Council action completed, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic barriers to rapid withdrawal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
15% โอกาส
$368,739 ปริมาณ
$368,739 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
15% โอกาส
$368,739 ปริมาณ
$368,739 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025–2026 and related IAEA disputes, with parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and statements in July 2026 describing Iran as operating without full safeguards access. However, no formal withdrawal notice has been issued, and senior figures including Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi have stressed that any exit requires extensive legal, security, and strategic review by relevant authorities. Iran continues to participate in NPT-related forums while suspending IAEA cooperation rather than exiting the treaty outright. With only months remaining before 2027 and no parliamentary or Guardian Council action completed, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic barriers to rapid withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$368,739วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025–2026 and related IAEA disputes, with parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and statements in July 2026 describing Iran as operating without full safeguards access. However, no formal withdrawal notice has been issued, and senior figures including Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi have stressed that any exit requires extensive legal, security, and strategic review by relevant authorities. Iran continues to participate in NPT-related forums while suspending IAEA cooperation rather than exiting the treaty outright. With only months remaining before 2027 and no parliamentary or Guardian Council action completed, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic barriers to rapid withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$368,739วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025–2026 and related IAEA disputes, with parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and statements in July 2026 describing Iran as operating without full safeguards access. However, no formal withdrawal notice has been issued, and senior figures including Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi have stressed that any exit requires extensive legal, security, and strategic review by relevant authorities. Iran continues to participate in NPT-related forums while suspending IAEA cooperation rather than exiting the treaty outright. With only months remaining before 2027 and no parliamentary or Guardian Council action completed, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic barriers to rapid withdrawal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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